German Weekend

[chriscol]

rec so far this season (pushes recorded as no play)

1. Bundesliga 8 - 6 +2.24 units
2. Bundesliga 3 - 3 -0.02 units
Regionalliga 9 - 3 +5.16 units

Total 20 - 12 +7.38 units

Friday

1. Bundesliga

Bochum- Hamburg: no play

at the moment it s a no play. conflicting trends all over. both teams off a great start. Hamburg likes to play at Bochum historically, but also lot s of matches ending in a draw. Although Hamburg the better team, Bohum is solid at home...Hamburg is an under team, but with Bochum at home there could be some scoring.
I ll think abot it closer to game time, but probably no play or maybe the under as i expect a 1-1 draw or similar.

2. Bundesliga

Köln- Jena: Köln -1 @1.95

Köln off a mixed start. After away win at ST.Pauli they lost on monday the derby to aachen at home. Today is chance to get back on track against a team definetely struggeling vs. relgation. Jena came back to draw first game at Aachen, but then lost last week at home to St.Pauli. This should be a home win, so at least money back.

Osnabrück- Paderborn: Osnabrück -0.5,pk @ 1.89

Osnabrück coming from regionalliaga off agreat start, with a 4 points so far. They are particular strong at home where they have not lost in last 20 matches and won the season opener. Team is full of confidence.
Paderborn meanwhile is struggeling big time, but especially on offense. they lost both games and sit in last place without a goal score. should be tough for them to change this trend here.

Regionalliga Nord:

Erfurt- Braunschweig over 2.5,3 @ 1.99 !! 2 units!!

It s first against last, but be careful. Although Erfurt is a solid team they are not expected to be in the top 4 of the league, while Braunschweig coming down from 2.Liga was picked as one of the better teams, but is struggeling mightily so far. A break out is due.
One thing is for sure : there wil be scoring: Erfurt s games so far have seen 9,3,2,3 goals, while Braunschweig has 1,5,4,8
games are not even highscoring, but in case of Braunschweig have also shown that there is plenty of scoring and conceiding for them.

Regionalliga Süd:

Siegen- Elversberg: Siegen -0.5 @1.89 !! 2 units !!

Siegen is constantly underpriced so far this season and i dont know why. i am picking them everytime and they keep winning and lines are till great.
They are a very solid team, winning both home matches and twice drew away against good team. Today they are facing Elversberg with just one point out of 4 games. For Elversberg it s already what they will face all season: relegation trouble. I dont see them get a point here and dont understand the line at all.

BOL to all

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[Marco]

Thanks for the heads up on the Erfurt total.....was figuring out a baseball card and decided to throw that total in the mix...

2-2 works for me! :toast:

 

[chriscol]

mixed day yesterday to start the weekend

Saturday

Regionalliga Nord

Hamburg- Oberhausen: Hamburg -0.5 @ 1.80

Hamburg is a very solid team. they have been around the top last year for most of the season and have a good start again. Not that they are a strong team, but with the Bundesliga team playing yesterday they also expect some reinforcement from the a-team.
Oberhausen meanwhile coming up from 4th division won the first game of season but has only one pont from next 3 matches.That is more what to expect from them as they will play against relegation whole season.
Better team at home here.

Wuppertal- DOrtmund: under 2.5 @2.06

i like playing Wuppertal unders so far this season and here is another one. they are playing off a strong defense even at home. Besides the last game 5-2 at Ahlen, which went a little bit out of control they play pretty much low scoring, especially against teams that are solid on defense as well.
Dortmund s games have seen a total of 5 goals in 4 games so far this season. you can make your own calculation.

Berlin- Wolfsburg: over 2.5,3 @1.99

Berlin i a mixed team when it comes to over this season going 3-2. but their scores going either way under in 2 0-1 games or way over (4,4,8) in the overs.
They play today another over team, which should lead to an offensive minded game and another over.
Wolfsburg coming up from 4th division was already last year in the lower league known for high scoring games and they continue the trend here. Their 3 games so far ended 3-2,2-3,0-3. There should be plenty of scoring today with both teams particioating

Bremen- Ahlen: over 2.5,3 @1.98 !! 2 units!!

another strong over. just look at the results: Bremen 0-3,2-0,2-3,3-0 and Ahlen: 3-6,3-1, 2-0,2-5
Bremen played strong at home especially on offense, so there is scoring asured and according to recent results it will be tough to stop ahlen from scoring (but neither can they)

 

[GreenDoberman]

Thanks, GL Chris.

 

[chriscol]

Cottbus- Düsseldorf: under 2.5 @ 1.83

two under teams here. Düsseldorf as top team in the league has not conceided one goal in 4 games this season, but also scored 4 themselves, winning twice 1-0 and once 2-0.
Cottbus very similar to that, played 1-0,1-1,1-1,0-0 5 total goals in 4 games. with the better team playing away there is also no blow out expected, which should help.

Regionalliga Süd:

Oggersheim- Reutlingen: Reutlingen pk,-0.5 @2.13

i repeat myself every week. Oggerheim coming up from 4th league has not yet adjusted to this league. i faded them all 4 games and all were winners and i ll continue that.
They have in 4 games 4 losses and 0-12 goals.
Reutlingen is a solid team with 1 win and 3 draws so far this season, which should help in addition.

1. Bundesliga to come

 

[chriscol]

1. Bundesliga

München - Hannover: München -1.5 @ 1.86 and over 3 @1.87

Although Klose in injured and luca Toni is probably the only front man München as awful lot of offensive power as shown in their matches so far 3-0 to ROstock and 4-0 at Bremen. Especially at home they will go forward. Hannover shouldhave not much of a chance.
They were coming back from a 0-1 home loss to win 2-1 at Karlsruhe, but that a different story. the over is a standard play for München this season and has nothing to do with Hannover. basically what i see is that they can cover the tree themselves, but in case hannover scores and putes the side-cover in doubt the over should cash for sure.

Nürnberg- Bremen: Nürnberg pk @ 1.83

i ve talked a lot about the big injury problems that Bremen has. to the 6 injured key players from last week now their striker Atouba is out and carlos alberto sick. That leaves them with almost no players left. so far at led to a lucky 2-2 draw at Bochum and a 0-4 home trashing by bayern. in addition they are ahead of midweeks crucial ECL qualifier.
Nürnebrg got back on track with a solid away win after loosing the opener and should have a very good chance of winning here.

Levrkusen- Karlsruhe: Leverkusen -1 @2.11

Although big scoring problems so far this season i still believethat Leverkusen is one of the better teams in league. Today could be the break out game vs. newcomer Karlsruhe coming from a home defeat. It s a bit risky with leverkusen s current scoring slump but i like it.

Stuttgart- Duisburg under 2.5,3 @ 1.95

Stuttgart has similar injury problems as Bremen, especially on offense. Duisburg coming up from2nd division won at Dortmund but lost at home to Wolfsburg. so difficult to predict what to expect from them. i only expectthem to play defensive minded in an away game to an on paper superior team.
Stuttgart is definetely not the side to back either with the injuries so i see two possible out comes:
either stuttgart somehow manages to win this game. thsi will only be the case if Duisburg doesnt play well, which means the dont score. i dont think STuttgart will score 3 themselves this wayas sitting probably on a 1-0 or 2-0 lead.
In case DUisburg is in the game, than Stuttgart is struggeling and it will be a 1-1 or 1-0 type of game, which is also a solid under.

BOL to all

 

[Costanza]

Thanks & good luck today Chris

 

[chriscol]

line has moved for no reason.
adding

München- Hannover: München -1,-1.5 @ 1.79

BOL to all

 

[Ganasa]

damn Bremen in the Regionalliga...

 

[Ganasa]

and Reutlingen 3-3 in the 90' mins éskgjawdgjasdàfkjasédfjaésd!!!!!!

 

[chriscol]

at least the other over is already in with berlin leading 4-0
so overall mixed again in regionalliga

Bundesliga off a good start so far, but we will see

 

[winbet]

Keep the grind going Chris, much appreciated. :drink:

 

[chriscol]

sunday

2. Bundesliga

St. Pauli- Koblenz: St. Pauli pk,-0.5 @ 1.85

St. Pauli coming up from Regionalliga is offf a good start. They lost at home to Köln, but were actually the better team. They followed that by an away win at Jena. Today at home is where their real strength normally is. It s an important match for them as a team like Koblenz will be a direct opponent in fight against relegation. So same effordlike last week is expected.
Koblenz meanwhile won at home but lost big at Mainz. it will be a close macth, but the home advantage is big for st.Pauli and should make the difference.

Hoffenheim- München: München pk @1.89

Not sure if München wins here, but they are definetely the side to take.
They started with a 4-1 home win and a 6-3 away win and are very confident right now.
Hoffenheim coming up from 3rd division lost first game 2-3 at home to Wehen, but played very well in 0-0 draw at Gladbach, which showed that they are arrived in league and have steadied the defence. a crucial thing against München. Nevertheless München is the better team and off an emotional high, so at pk it s the play here.

1. Bundesliga to come later

BOL to all

 

[chriscol]

solid start in the day with two winners (München 3-0, St.Pauli 1-0)

1. Bundesliga

Wolfsburg- Schalke: Schalke pk,-0.5 @1.85 and over 2.5 @1.96

Schalke is off a very good start. 2-2 at champion Stuttgart fllowed by a big 4-1 win vs. rival Dortmund.
They are solid and as usual dangerous on offense. i dont like their defense too much so far, but that will improve with time.
They are as already last year a very,very dangerous team in away games having counter-attacks as one of their strength. i am pretty sure that they will score here.
Wolfsburg turned the whole team upside down in offseason and spent by far the most for new players from all teams besides Bayern.
They are coming off a terrible 0-3 loss to Bielefeld in the opener and coming back with a solid away win at Duisburg. so i am not sure what expect from them. I think they will finish the season somwhere between 6th and 9th, but at the moment one thing is for sure...the team with all the new players still need some adjustments and playing time. that s not good vs. a team as Schalke. As they playig at home there should be also a chance they score which wouldd only help the oer.


I leave the other game alone. Rostock coming off to losses, but i have a strange feeling they might get a surprise upset today. but it would be an upset and nothing to bet on.

BOL to all